SUPPLEMENTARY DATA Hock, R., B. Marzeion, A., Bliss, R. Giesen, Y. Hirabayashi, M. Huss, V. Radic, A. Slangen (2019). GlacierMIP - A model intercomparison of global-scale glacier mass-balance models and projections. J. Glaciology. -------------------------- Data used in Figure 9 Projected relative area changes by 2100 in percent of the glacier area in year 2015 for 19 RGI regions from six glacier models (see Table 1 in main text for references) using four RCP emission scenarios. Numbers for the six glacier models refer to each glacier model's multi-GCM means ± their standard deviation Note that negative numbers mean area gains. Mean values show two different ways of averaging: "Mean1" refers to the arithmetic mean of all glacier model's' multi-GCM means ± their standard deviation, and "Min1" and "Max2" to the minimum and maximum of these multi-GCM means. "Mean2" refers to the arithmetic mean of all model runs for the same RCP (regardless glacier model or GCM) ± their standard deviation, and "Min2" and "Max2" refer to the minimum and maximum of the sample. For Mean1 all glacier models have the same weight regardless how many GCMs they used, whereas for Mean2 glacier models with more GCM runs will have more weight, thus the the way of averaging affects the results. Region numbers (#) 1-19 refer to the region numbers of the primary regions of the Randolph Glacier Inventory (RGI). Global refers to all 19 RGI regions, Global excl A+G refers to all regions but Antarctica and Greenland periphery and Global excl. A refers to all regions but Antarctic periphery. Note that not all glacier models compute all regions or use all three emission scenarios. Note that area changes could not be calculated for SLA2012 since the data were not available. RCP2.6 (41 model runs by 3 glacier models) "Region# ", "SLA2012", "MAR2012", "GIE2013", "HYOGA2", "RAD2014", "GLoGEM", "Mean1", "Min1", "Max1" "Mean2", "Min2", "Max2" "Region" 1, NaN, 31.4±4.8, 38.9±10.1, NaN, NaN, 30.5±9.5, 33.6±4.6, 30.5, 38.9, 34.1±9.2, 14.9 53.7 Alaska 2, NaN, 69.0±7.0, 44.8±8.9, NaN, NaN, 74.7±8.3, 62.8±15.9, 44.8, 74.7, 61.2±15.7, 31.6 85.9 W Canada & USA 3, NaN, 12.1±5.0, 5.0±2.9, NaN, NaN, 12.0±4.9, 9.7±4.1, 5.0, 12.1, 9.3±5.4, 1.3 20.7 Arctic Canada N 4, NaN, 29.0±12.0, 5.2±5.9, NaN, NaN, 28.3±11.9, 20.9±13.6, 5.2, 29.0, 19.5±15.2, -3.8 53.0 Arctic Canada S 5, NaN, 24.3±9.8, 8.0±3.7, NaN, NaN, 25.4±10.8, 19.2±9.8, 8.0, 25.4, 18.2±11.7, 1.7 42.4 Greenland 6, NaN, 22.2±15.7, 13.4±8.6, NaN, NaN, 30.4±12.6, 22.0±8.5, 13.4, 30.4, 21.1±14.0, 0.1 58.0 Iceland 7, NaN, 48.7±15.6, 15.7±9.0, NaN, NaN, 38.1±23.8, 34.2±16.8, 15.7, 48.7, 32.8±21.6, 3.5 86.8 Svalbard 8, NaN, 63.7±15.1, 34.4±14.2, NaN, NaN, 76.3±17.1, 58.1±21.5, 34.4, 76.3, 55.9±23.5, 12.2 94.1 Scandinavia 9, NaN, 26.4±16.4, 5.3±3.7, NaN, NaN, 32.5±15.3, 21.4±14.3, 5.3, 32.5, 20.0±17.2, 1.3 61.5 Russian Arctic 10, NaN, 59.2±14.3, 27.8±14.8, NaN, NaN, 71.7±10.7, 52.9±22.6, 27.8, 71.7, 50.6±23.3, 3.9 88.2 North Asia 11, NaN, 57.1±13.5, 71.9±21.7, NaN, NaN, 70.7±12.0, 66.6±8.2, 57.1, 71.9, 66.9±17.8, 26.9 90.3 Central Europe 12, NaN, 57.0±11.0, 55.3±16.7, NaN, NaN, 62.5±13.0, 58.3±3.8, 55.3, 62.5, 58.0±14.0, 18.6 90.2 Caucasus 13, NaN, 53.5±8.8, 42.6±9.9, NaN, NaN, 51.0±12.6, 49.1±5.7, 42.6, 53.5, 48.5±11.3, 22.9 73.0 Central Asia 14, NaN, 45.6±6.4, 44.9±14.5, NaN, NaN, 43.9±13.1, 44.8±0.9, 43.9, 45.6, 44.9±11.8, 17.3 64.2 South Asia W 15, NaN, 50.1±7.6, 72.1±9.3, NaN, NaN, 51.7±15.0, 57.9±12.3, 50.1, 72.1, 59.1±14.9, 16.9 85.4 South Asia E 16, NaN, 85.1±5.9, 28.4±13.9, NaN, NaN, 71.9±10.3, 61.8±29.7, 28.4, 85.1, 59.1±27.5, 1.7 95.3 Low Latitudes 17, NaN, 26.5±5.0, 15.4±5.3, NaN, NaN, 25.1±6.3, 22.3±6.0, 15.4, 26.5, 21.8±7.4, 5.3 34.8 Southern Andes 18, NaN, 57.3±8.3, -19.0±18.8, NaN, NaN, 35.1±13.6, 24.5±39.2, -19.0, 57.3, 21.0±36.5, -51.6 74.1 New Zealand 19, NaN, NaN, 10.6±5.3, NaN, NaN, 13.2±4.0, 11.9±1.8, 10.6, 13.2, 11.7±4.9, -1.1 21.7 Antarctica 20, NaN, 32.7±7.0, 22.3±5.2, NaN, NaN, 33.0±8.6, 29.4±6.1, 22.3, 33.0, 28.8±8.5, 12.8 46.0 Global excl. A+G 21, NaN, 31.4±7.2, 19.4±4.6, NaN, NaN, 31.9±8.7, 27.6±7.0, 19.4, 31.9, 26.9±9.0, 11.3 45.3 Global excl. A 22, NaN, NaN, 17.5±4.2, NaN, NaN, 28.6±7.3, 23.0±7.8, 17.5, 28.6, 22.3±7.9, 8.6 38.9 Global RCP4.5 (51 model runs by 3 glacier models) "Region# ", "SLA2012", "MAR2012", "GIE2013", "HYOGA2", "RAD2014", "GLoGEM", "Mean1", "Min1", "Max1" "Mean2", "Min2", "Max2" "Region" 1, NaN, 34.0±7.0, NaN, NaN, 39.1±12.4, 39.4±10.2, 37.5±3.0, 34.0, 39.4, 37.4±10.1, 16.8 54.2 Alaska 2, NaN, 74.0±10.0, NaN, NaN, 77.3±15.1, 85.1±8.7, 78.8±5.7, 74.0, 85.1, 78.7±12.2, 43.8 96.4 W Canada & USA 3, NaN, 13.5±6.3, NaN, NaN, 17.5±9.4, 16.2±6.7, 15.7±2.1, 13.5, 17.5, 15.7±7.6, 2.3 35.3 Arctic Canada N 4, NaN, 33.2±14.4, NaN, NaN, 45.3±17.7, 38.2±15.5, 38.9±6.1, 33.2, 45.3, 38.8±16.3, 11.6 75.6 Arctic Canada S 5, NaN, 28.2±9.7, NaN, NaN, 16.3±19.0, 34.0±13.0, 26.1±9.0, 16.3, 34.0, 26.2±15.8, -9.5 61.4 Greenland 6, NaN, 28.3±21.1, NaN, NaN, 44.3±29.7, 38.8±15.8, 37.1±8.1, 28.3, 44.3, 36.9±23.3, -7.0 92.7 Iceland 7, NaN, 55.7±19.4, NaN, NaN, 50.9±21.2, 55.3±25.4, 54.0±2.7, 50.9, 55.7, 54.0±21.7, 9.9 92.1 Svalbard 8, NaN, 69.3±15.4, NaN, NaN, 69.6±24.8, 85.8±15.0, 74.9±9.4, 69.3, 85.8, 74.7±20.0, 14.5 98.8 Scandinavia 9, NaN, 34.1±22.0, NaN, NaN, 29.0±15.7, 44.5±19.7, 35.9±7.9, 29.0, 44.5, 35.8±20.0, 10.4 79.6 Russian Arctic 10, NaN, 62.8±16.3, NaN, NaN, 82.6±10.8, 82.3±8.8, 75.9±11.3, 62.8, 82.6, 75.6±15.4, 32.5 97.1 North Asia 11, NaN, 71.2±10.0, NaN, NaN, 73.6±14.5, 85.3±8.5, 76.7±7.6, 71.2, 85.3, 76.6±12.6, 49.1 97.4 Central Europe 12, NaN, 65.6±10.3, NaN, NaN, 80.6±10.6, 78.7±9.9, 74.9±8.2, 65.6, 80.6, 74.7±12.1, 47.0 96.0 Caucasus 13, NaN, 59.4±8.6, NaN, NaN, 52.3±15.8, 70.9±11.4, 60.9±9.4, 52.3, 70.9, 60.8±14.2, 23.0 90.4 Central Asia 14, NaN, 50.4±6.3, NaN, NaN, 32.2±24.1, 63.8±13.8, 48.8±15.9, 32.2, 63.8, 48.8±20.5, -8.8 85.1 South Asia W 15, NaN, 55.8±7.4, NaN, NaN, 49.1±15.6, 69.8±14.8, 58.3±10.5, 49.1, 69.8, 58.2±15.3, 23.0 91.3 South Asia E 16, NaN, 90.7±5.2, NaN, NaN, 92.3±3.2, 88.4±5.8, 90.5±2.0, 88.4, 92.3, 90.5±5.0, 76.2 97.9 Low Latitudes 17, NaN, 31.6±4.4, NaN, NaN, 27.7±5.7, 36.0±6.8, 31.7±4.1, 27.7, 36.0, 31.7±6.5, 21.3 50.3 Southern Andes 18, NaN, 69.1±6.0, NaN, NaN, 40.7±13.1, 56.4±10.3, 55.4±14.2, 40.7, 69.1, 55.7±15.4, 23.3 79.5 New Zealand 19, NaN, NaN, NaN, NaN, 16.3±2.9, 18.5±6.4, 17.4±1.5, 16.3, 18.5, 17.4±5.0, 10.7 31.9 Antarctica 20, NaN, 37.0±8.5, NaN, NaN, 37.4±11.7, 44.6±9.9, 39.7±4.3, 37.0, 44.6, 39.6±10.4, 20.4 61.4 Global excl. A+G 21, NaN, 35.6±8.5, NaN, NaN, 34.3±12.5, 43.0±10.2, 37.6±4.7, 34.3, 43.0, 37.6±10.9, 16.2 61.4 Global excl. A 22, NaN, NaN, NaN, NaN, 31.1±10.2, 38.7±8.6, 34.9±5.4, 31.1, 38.7, 34.9±10.0, 15.8 52.5 Global RCP6.0 (11 model runs by 1 glacier model) "Region# ", "SLA2012", "MAR2012", "GIE2013", "HYOGA2", "RAD2014", "GLoGEM", "Mean1", "Min1", "Max1" "Mean2", "Min2", "Max2" "Region" 1, NaN, 34.6±6.7, NaN, NaN, NaN, NaN, 34.6±0.0, 34.6, 34.6, 34.6±6.7, 25.1 41.7 Alaska 2, NaN, 74.1±9.0, NaN, NaN, NaN, NaN, 74.1±0.0, 74.1, 74.1, 74.1±9.0, 59.0 84.7 W Canada & USA 3, NaN, 13.8±6.2, NaN, NaN, NaN, NaN, 13.8±0.0, 13.8, 13.8, 13.8±6.2, 5.5 24.0 Arctic Canada N 4, NaN, 37.5±14.9, NaN, NaN, NaN, NaN, 37.5±0.0, 37.5, 37.5, 37.5±14.9, 16.7 60.5 Arctic Canada S 5, NaN, 29.0±10.3, NaN, NaN, NaN, NaN, 29.0±0.0, 29.0, 29.0, 29.0±10.3, 13.1 46.5 Greenland 6, NaN, 24.4±15.3, NaN, NaN, NaN, NaN, 24.4±0.0, 24.4, 24.4, 24.4±15.3, -0.3 46.6 Iceland 7, NaN, 56.9±15.2, NaN, NaN, NaN, NaN, 56.9±0.0, 56.9, 56.9, 56.9±15.2, 32.1 77.2 Svalbard 8, NaN, 71.3±15.7, NaN, NaN, NaN, NaN, 71.3±0.0, 71.3, 71.3, 71.3±15.7, 42.8 91.7 Scandinavia 9, NaN, 33.5±18.7, NaN, NaN, NaN, NaN, 33.5±0.0, 33.5, 33.5, 33.5±18.7, 10.2 66.6 Russian Arctic 10, NaN, 64.7±15.8, NaN, NaN, NaN, NaN, 64.7±0.0, 64.7, 64.7, 64.7±15.8, 38.1 84.0 North Asia 11, NaN, 74.0±10.7, NaN, NaN, NaN, NaN, 74.0±0.0, 74.0, 74.0, 74.0±10.7, 55.6 87.1 Central Europe 12, NaN, 67.8±11.1, NaN, NaN, NaN, NaN, 67.8±0.0, 67.8, 67.8, 67.8±11.1, 48.4 84.5 Caucasus 13, NaN, 59.6±9.7, NaN, NaN, NaN, NaN, 59.6±0.0, 59.6, 59.6, 59.6±9.7, 40.6 75.0 Central Asia 14, NaN, 49.7±8.1, NaN, NaN, NaN, NaN, 49.7±0.0, 49.7, 49.7, 49.7±8.1, 33.3 60.9 South Asia W 15, NaN, 55.1±8.4, NaN, NaN, NaN, NaN, 55.1±0.0, 55.1, 55.1, 55.1±8.4, 43.7 70.0 South Asia E 16, NaN, 92.1±4.3, NaN, NaN, NaN, NaN, 92.1±0.0, 92.1, 92.1, 92.1±4.3, 87.2 98.1 Low Latitudes 17, NaN, 30.4±3.7, NaN, NaN, NaN, NaN, 30.4±0.0, 30.4, 30.4, 30.4±3.7, 25.2 36.3 Southern Andes 18, NaN, 68.7±7.4, NaN, NaN, NaN, NaN, 68.7±0.0, 68.7, 68.7, 68.7±7.4, 53.1 77.0 New Zealand 19, NaN, NaN, NaN, NaN, NaN, NaN, NaN, NaN, NaN, NaN±NaN, NaN NaN Antarctica 20, NaN, 37.4±8.4, NaN, NaN, NaN, NaN, 37.4±0.0, 37.4, 37.4, 37.4±8.4, 26.7 51.3 Global excl. A+G 21, NaN, 36.1±8.6, NaN, NaN, NaN, NaN, 36.1±0.0, 36.1, 36.1, 36.1±8.6, 25.0 50.5 Global excl. A 22, NaN, NaN, NaN, NaN, NaN, NaN, NaN, NaN, NaN, NaN±NaN, NaN NaN Global RCP8.5 (67 model runs by 5 glacier models) "Region# ", "SLA2012", "MAR2012", "GIE2013", "HYOGA2", "RAD2014", "GLoGEM", "Mean1", "Min1", "Max1" "Mean2", "Min2", "Max2" "Region" 1, NaN, 41.7±7.8, 58.1±15.9, 30.3±11.9, 54.0±13.4, 54.3±13.2, 47.7±11.5, 30.3, 58.1, 49.5±15.5, 14.2 81.8 Alaska 2, NaN, 84.0±7.7, 65.1±16.0, 72.0±12.5, 92.1±8.8, 94.5±5.5, 81.5±12.7, 65.1, 94.5, 81.9±15.7, 32.4 99.7 W Canada & USA 3, NaN, 23.4±10.9, 9.4±4.1, 7.0±3.9, 29.1±13.5, 26.7±10.6, 19.1±10.2, 7.0, 29.1, 20.0±12.9, 1.2 52.5 Arctic Canada N 4, NaN, 46.0±15.9, 11.5±8.7, 19.6±10.0, 61.2±16.2, 54.2±15.7, 38.5±21.8, 11.5, 61.2, 39.5±24.0, -1.0 86.8 Arctic Canada S 5, NaN, 40.1±9.1, 14.3±5.4, NaN, 40.1±19.2, 51.6±13.8, 36.5±15.8, 14.3, 51.6, 35.8±18.7, 1.7 75.4 Greenland 6, NaN, 42.2±23.4, 29.0±14.8, 29.8±8.0, 62.3±31.7, 53.2±18.7, 43.3±14.6, 29.0, 62.3, 44.1±24.7, 2.1 97.2 Iceland 7, NaN, 72.8±16.0, 41.3±21.2, 44.0±18.1, 71.5±19.5, 79.3±20.0, 61.8±17.7, 41.3, 79.3, 62.9±24.4, 9.1 97.9 Svalbard 8, NaN, 83.6±11.1, 55.6±19.6, 69.8±9.7, 86.3±14.8, 95.2±5.6, 78.1±15.6, 55.6, 95.2, 78.3±19.7, 18.0 99.9 Scandinavia 9, NaN, 55.9±28.1, 13.7±8.9, 4.1±4.2, 49.3±21.4, 63.9±19.9, 37.4±26.7, 4.1, 63.9, 39.9±29.6, 0.7 94.2 Russian Arctic 10, NaN, 75.7±15.3, 61.8±24.7, 54.6±10.6, 93.4±6.0, 91.7±3.9, 75.4±17.4, 54.6, 93.4, 76.9±20.7, 15.7 99.0 North Asia 11, NaN, 87.8±6.4, 89.4±17.5, 61.2±14.0, 93.9±6.9, 96.5±3.8, 85.8±14.1, 61.2, 96.5, 88.1±14.9, 33.8 99.8 Central Europe 12, NaN, 81.9±6.9, 85.7±17.4, 42.6±18.1, 95.2±4.0, 95.0±4.3, 80.1±21.8, 42.6, 95.2, 83.6±19.6, 15.3 99.7 Caucasus 13, NaN, 69.2±7.1, 65.5±17.7, 61.9±6.5, 74.4±12.1, 87.8±7.3, 71.8±10.1, 61.9, 87.8, 72.4±14.3, 28.9 97.0 Central Asia 14, NaN, 55.9±6.5, 72.0±22.3, 64.4±6.0, 61.8±19.9, 81.7±12.5, 67.2±10.0, 55.9, 81.7, 67.4±17.9, 25.3 96.8 South Asia W 15, NaN, 64.4±7.4, 89.2±9.8, 42.9±7.7, 75.0±12.0, 87.4±10.6, 71.8±19.0, 42.9, 89.2, 74.8±17.9, 35.3 97.9 South Asia E 16, NaN, 97.3±2.2, 60.0±20.7, 68.4±8.9, 98.1±1.2, 98.3±1.3, 84.4±18.7, 60.0, 98.3, 85.3±20.0, 17.4 99.6 Low Latitudes 17, NaN, 39.5±4.8, 34.4±12.8, 48.3±6.5, 42.4±7.0, 53.5±7.8, 43.6±7.5, 34.4, 53.5, 42.9±10.8, 10.9 67.0 Southern Andes 18, NaN, 81.3±4.6, 34.1±37.3, 75.8±4.3, 71.5±10.5, 79.4±7.7, 68.4±19.5, 34.1, 81.3, 66.9±26.7, -38.6 91.2 New Zealand 19, NaN, NaN, 20.0±10.1, NaN, 20.6±4.4, 30.3±9.2, 23.6±5.8, 20.0, 30.3, 23.5±9.5, 3.7 44.6 Antarctica 20, NaN, 48.3±9.8, 37.8±11.2, 32.3±6.4, 55.2±11.9, 60.3±9.8, 46.8±11.7, 32.3, 60.3, 47.8±14.1, 17.6 72.8 Global excl. A+G 21, NaN, 47.0±9.6, 33.1±9.9, NaN, 52.9±12.6, 59.0±10.2, 48.0±11.1, 33.1, 59.0, 47.5±14.2, 15.5 72.9 Global excl. A 22, NaN, NaN, 30.3±9.3, NaN, 47.3±10.3, 54.0±8.6, 43.8±12.2, 30.3, 54.0, 43.2±13.8, 14.5 65.3 Global