/*this is a do file to replicate, then make some changes to, Alex DownesÕ regressions on civilian targeting*/ /*the commands come from his web appendix*/ /*First, IÕll replicate part of Downes' Table 2.9, ÒDeterminants of civilian victimization by participants in interstate wars, 1816-2003. This is Model 1 from Table 1 in our paperÓ*/ logit civtarget democ7 civdif attrition annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45, robust cluster(abdnum) /*Now, IÕll include dummies for whether both war participants were European (including Russia, Greece, the US, Canada, New Zealand, and Australia), whether side1 is European but not side 2, and whether side2 is European but not side1. This is Model 1b, Table 1 in our paper*/ logit civtarget democ7 EuropeDummy onlyeuropean nonEurvsEur attrition annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45, robust cluster(abdnum) /*Now, I?ll add in an interaction term between EuropeDummy and post45 to see if the effect of European v. non-European decreases over time, which we would expect. This is Model 1c, Table 1 in our paper*/ logit civtarget democ7 EuropeDummy attrition annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45 Europe45, robust cluster(abdnum) /*Now, I'll replicate Downes' Table 2.9 using Doyle's measure of democracy rather than Polity. This is Model 2, Table 1 in our paper*/ logit civtarget liberal civdif attrition annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45, robust cluster(abdnum) /*Now, I'll include dummies for whether both war participants were European (including Russia, Greece, the US, Canada, New Zealand, and Australia), whether side1 is European but not side 2, and whether side2 is European but not side1. This is Model 2b, Table 1 in our paper*/ logit civtarget liberal EuropeDummy onlyeuropean nonEurvsEur attrition annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45, robust cluster(abdnum) /*now let?s run Clarify for relevant models*/ /*first, original model 1*/ estsimp logit civtarget democ7 civdif attrition annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45, robust cluster(abdnum) /*now, I?ll run marginal effects for civdif */ /*first, Model 1*/ setx democ7 0 civdif 0 attrition 0 annex 0 cappercent mean deterrence 0 victimcv 0 post45 0 simqi, pr setx democ7 0 civdif 1 attrition 0 annex 0 cappercent mean deterrence 0 victimcv 0 post45 0 simqi, pr drop b1 b2 b3 b4 b5 b6 b7 b8 b9 save, replace /*now, revised model 1*/ estsimp logit civtarget democ7 EuropeDummy onlyeuropean nonEurvsEur attrition annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45, robust cluster(abdnum) /*now, I?ll run marginal effects for EuropeDummy*/ /*first, Model 1*/ setx democ7 0 EuropeDummy 0 onlyeuropean 0 nonEurvsEur 0 attrition 0 annex 0 cappercent mean deterrence 0 victimcv 0 post45 0 simqi, pr setx democ7 0 EuropeDummy 1 onlyeuropean 0 nonEurvsEur 0 attrition 0 annex 0 cappercent mean deterrence 0 victimcv 0 post45 0 simqi, pr setx democ7 0 EuropeDummy 0 onlyeuropean 0 nonEurvsEur 0 attrition 0 annex 0 cappercent mean deterrence 0 victimcv 0 post45 1 simqi, pr /*now, marginal effects for attrition*/ setx democ7 0 EuropeDummy 0 onlyeuropean 0 nonEurvsEur 0 attrition 0 annex 0 cappercent mean deterrence 0 victimcv 0 post45 0 simqi, pr setx democ7 0 EuropeDummy 0 onlyeuropean 0 nonEurvsEur 0 attrition 1 annex 0 cappercent mean deterrence 0 victimcv 0 post45 0 simqi, pr /*ROBUSTNESS CHECKS*/ /*Now, IÕll substitute a dummy variable for whether the war participant was a European state (including Russia, Greece, the US, Canada, New Zealand, and Australia) fighting a non-European state*/ logit civtarget democ7 EuropeDummy attrition annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45, robust cluster(abdnum) logit civtarget liberal EuropeDummy attrition annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45, robust cluster(abdnum) logit civtargetcap democ7 EuropeDummy attrition annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45, robust cluster(abdnum) logit civtargetcap liberal EuropeDummy attrition annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45, robust cluster(abdnum) logit civtarget democ7 EuropeDummy logbatdead annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45, robust cluster(abdnum) logit civtargetcap democ7 EuropeDummy logdur annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45, robust cluster(abdnum) logit civtargetcap democ7 EuropeDummy waexpand annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45, robust cluster(abdnum) /*Now, IÕll drop the World Wars */ logit civtarget democ7 EuropeDummy onlyeuropean nonEurvsEur attrition annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45 if worldwar!=1, robust cluster(abdnum) logit civtarget liberal EuropeDummy onlyeuropean nonEurvsEur attrition annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45 if worldwar!=1, robust cluster(abdnum) logit civtargetcap democ7 EuropeDummy onlyeuropean nonEurvsEur attrition annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45 if worldwar!=1, robust cluster(abdnum) logit civtargetcap liberal EuropeDummy onlyeuropean nonEurvsEur attrition annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45 if worldwar!=1, robust cluster(abdnum) logit civtarget democ7 EuropeDummy onlyeuropean nonEurvsEur logbatdead annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45 if worldwar!=1, robust cluster(abdnum) logit civtargetcap democ7 EuropeDummy onlyeuropean nonEurvsEur logdur annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45 if worldwar!=1, robust cluster(abdnum) logit civtargetcap democ7 EuropeDummy onlyeuropean nonEurvsEur waexpand annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45 if worldwar!=1, robust cluster(abdnum) /*Now, IÕll substitute a dummy variable for whether the war participant was a European state, where Europe is defined as being geographically in Europe*/ logit civtarget democ7 Eurcontvsnon bothcontinent notEurcontvsEurcont attrition annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45, robust cluster(abdnum) logit civtarget liberal Eurcontvsnon bothcontinent notEurcontvsEurcont attrition annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45, robust cluster(abdnum) logit civtargetcap democ7 Eurcontvsnon bothcontinent notEurcontvsEurcont attrition annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45, robust cluster(abdnum) logit civtargetcap liberal Eurcontvsnon bothcontinent notEurcontvsEurcont attrition annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45, robust cluster(abdnum) logit civtarget democ7 Eurcontvsnon bothcontinent notEurcontvsEurcont logbatdead annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45, robust cluster(abdnum) logit civtargetcap democ7 Eurcontvsnon bothcontinent notEurcontvsEurcont logdur annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45, robust cluster(abdnum) logit civtargetcap democ7 Eurcontvsnon bothcontinent notEurcontvsEurcont waexpand annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45, robust cluster(abdnum) /*Now, IÕll substitute a dummy variable for whether the war participant was a Western European state */ logit civtarget democ7 westerneuropeside1 bothwesterneuropean westerneuropeside2 attrition annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45, robust cluster(abdnum) logit civtarget liberal westerneuropeside1 bothwesterneuropean westerneuropeside2 attrition annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45, robust cluster(abdnum) logit civtargetcap democ7 westerneuropeside1 bothwesterneuropean westerneuropeside2 attrition annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45, robust cluster(abdnum) logit civtargetcap liberal westerneuropeside1 bothwesterneuropean westerneuropeside2 attrition annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45, robust cluster(abdnum) logit civtarget democ7 westerneuropeside1 bothwesterneuropean westerneuropeside2 logbatdead annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45, robust cluster(abdnum) logit civtargetcap democ7 westerneuropeside1 bothwesterneuropean westerneuropeside2 logdur annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45, robust cluster(abdnum) logit civtargetcap democ7 westerneuropeside1 bothwesterneuropean westerneuropeside2 waexpand annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45, robust cluster(abdnum) /*Now, I'll include (and substitute) parallel dummies for original signatories to the Second Hague 1899 Convention*/ logit civtarget democ7 side1Hague bothHague side2Hague attrition annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45, robust cluster(abdnum) logit civtarget liberal side1Hague bothHague side2Hague attrition annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45, robust cluster(abdnum) logit civtargetcap democ7 side1Hague bothHague side2Hague attrition annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45, robust cluster(abdnum) logit civtargetcap liberal side1Hague bothHague side2Hague attrition annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45, robust cluster(abdnum) logit civtarget democ7 side1Hague bothHague side2Hague logbatdead annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45, robust cluster(abdnum) logit civtargetcap democ7 side1Hague bothHague side2Hague logdur annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45, robust cluster(abdnum) logit civtargetcap democ7 side1Hague bothHague side2Hague waexpand annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45, robust cluster(abdnum) /*ONLINE APPENDIX*/ /*TABLE A2*/ /*let's run some correlations with identity and strategy variables*/ pwcorr EuropeDummy annex, sig pwcorr EuropeDummy attrition, sig /*TABLE A3*/ /*Now, I?ll add in an interaction term between EuropeDummy and post45 to see if the effect of European v. non-European decreases over time, which we would expect*/ logit civtarget democ7 EuropeDummy attrition annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45 Europe45, robust cluster(abdnum) logit civtarget liberal EuropeDummy attrition annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45 Europe45, robust cluster(abdnum) logit civtargetcap democ7 EuropeDummy attrition annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45 Europe45, robust cluster(abdnum) logit civtargetcap liberal EuropeDummy attrition annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45 Europe45, robust cluster(abdnum) logit civtarget democ7 EuropeDummy logbatdead annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45 Europe45, robust cluster(abdnum) logit civtargetcap democ7 EuropeDummy logdur annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post45 Europe45, robust cluster(abdnum) /*Now, I?ll add in an interaction term between EuropeDummy and post1977 to see if the effect of European v. non-European decreases over time, which we would expect*/ logit civtarget democ7 EuropeDummy attrition annex cappercent deterrence victimcv post1977 Europe77, robust cluster(abdnum)